In the last post we established that only a small amount of accounts within your market are purchasing a product like yours in a given cycle. Say, no more than 3% under even the best of circumstances.
Now let’s talk turkey. Take 2 companies playing in adjacent categories within healthcare (say, across those 600 health systems mentioned in the last post).
- Company A: ACV of $150,000, sells widgets to buyer Jane Doe.
- Company B: ACV of $40,000, sells doodads to buyer John Doe.
Of the 600 accounts in your market, 3% or ~18 accounts are ready to make a purchase on these solutions.
- The Jane Does of the world buy 18 widgets at $150,000 a piece. Company A nets $2.7M in new ARR.
- The John Does buy 18 doodads at $40,000 a piece. Company B nets $720,000 in new ARR.
But, ftFounder, they are two different companies selling two different products, at two different ACVs. Why do we even care to compare them? Just let them be.
Correct but unfortunately for us bleeding heart founders, the “capital” doesn’t care. It is only looking for a return. They don’t care how it looks as long as the returns are pretty. So, ask the tough questions we must.
Now what happens? With most first-time founders, they would love the first outcome, but are happy with the second. Ostensibly, both should reach revenue milestones in short order, right?
All things being equal, Company A races to near $10M ARR in 3.5 years. Company B, doing its own thang, takes almost 14 years to reach the same milestone! Not exactly the high growth startup your cofounders or board were buying into.
So where does the disconnect come in? Afterall, it is easy to see the math if you are being intellectually honest about ACV and our 3% rule. To even reach 5m (and become a viable acquisition target), Company A does it in less than 2 Years. Company B takes 7. Oi vey.
The truth is: Founders often (way) over-estimate the market’s willingness to adopt a solution and purchase it in droves. It. Just. Takes. Time. And lots of ‘marketing’. So, if both “time horizon” and “marketing budget” are equal across company A and B, and neither company can escape that 3% rule, then it becomes fairly easy to see the affect of ACV on your company’s growth trajectory.